fix(issue-19): close the trap race, select daemons by argv shape, align docs with the polling fallback

Review round 1 (claude PASS, agy PASS) recommendations:
- reconcile.sh: `_sub_stop` falls back to `$!` for the window before
  `_sub_pid=$!` (R-1); lock identity compared as (st_dev, st_ino).
- lib.sh legacy start_watchdog prints nothing when opted out and no daemon
  runs, byte-identical to the python body.
- conftest/test: `_is_subscriber_daemon_argv` selects only
  `bash|sh <root>/.../reconcile.sh --subscribe`, never a brief-carrying
  wrapper that quotes the words or a prefix-colliding sibling root (R-2);
  one new unit test for the selector.
- monitor SKILL.md / VERSIONS.md: the polling fallback checks the lock
  file's presence only and does not exclude a second daemon; measurement
  wording uses the argv-shape criterion instead of raw pgrep.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01VCgu9Fa9iT7TbJUSzdq4Ff

.agents/skills/lib.sh

@@ -2021,7 +2021,10 @@ _start_watchdog_legacy() {
     cd "$orig_pwd" || return 1
   fi
   
-  echo "$pid"
+  # Byte-identical to the python body: nothing on stdout when no daemon runs.
+  if [ -n "$pid" ]; then
+    echo "$pid"
+  fi
 }
 
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